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Avi Rosenthal

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Technology Predictions for 2015: Trivial, Over Estimated and Interesting It is an annual ritual: predictions for next year. After a year, two years or 5 years you discover that some of the predictions were right, some were wrong and nobody is sure if other predictions were right or wrong. 2015 is not an exception.  Recently I read two article  about IDC's predictions. The two articles describe the same predictions. The articles phrase differently the same predictions.  I will refer to the first article titled: IDC's top ten predictions for 2015.   However, the first article omitted an interesting point about Internet of Things Vendors. I will refer to what was written in the second article titled: IDC: top 10 technology predictions for 2015.  No one, including me, could be sure to which category (right, wrong, unknown) a prediction will fail. I divide IDC's predictions... (more)

Cloud Computing and the Security Paradox

On September, 14th  I participated in a local IBM conference titled: Smarter Solutions for a Smarter Business. One of the most interesting and practical presentations was Moises Navarro's presentation on Cloud Computing. He quoted an IBM survey about suitable and unsuitable workload types for implementation in the Cloud. The ten leading suitable workloads included many Infrastructure services and Desktop Services. The unsuitable workloads list included ERP as well as other Core Applications as I would expect (for example, read my previous post SaaS is Going Mainstream). However, ... (more)

SaaS vendor leading the CRM Market

According to recent Gartner CRM Market Report Salesforce.com is the Worldwide CRM Software Spendings market leader with 16% in 2013. SAP is second with 13% and Oracle third with 10%. As far as Revenue Growth from 2012 to 2013 is concerned, Salesforce.com is leading with 30.3%. Microsoft following with 22.8% and IBM with 22% Revenues Growth. SAP growth rate is 12.7%. Oracle is lagging with 4%.  According to the same Gartner's report, 41% of CRM Systems are SaaS-based. Seven years ago     Seven years ago the data was not resembling current data. Oracle after acquiring Siebel and PeopleSoft... (more)

Will HP Survive until 2018? – HP's EDS acquisition First Take

In a previous post I asked the same question about Microsoft and predicted that the probability that at least three of the four leading SOA Echo Systems vendors, including Microsoft, will survive in the next ten years is high. I planed additional posts on other potential Long Term survival candidates. HP's intend to acquire EDS changed my plan, so this post topic is HP's EDS acquisition. I would have predicted before the intended acquisition, that the probability that HP will survive until 2018 is high due to its dominance of the high volume Printers market and its position in oth... (more)

STKI Summit 2010: The effects of Infrastructure Complexity

Complexity was one of the issues presented by Dr. Jimmy Schwarzkopf's STKI summit Keynote presentation. My Take in a previous post glanced at Complexity and the topic of a comment to my post was Complexity. Pini Cohen's Architecture and Infrastructure EVP & Senior Analyst's presentation in the STKI Summit included many slides on the same topic.  The key point was that In Israel  2009 was a year with record downtime dew to Complexity. Storage was a major cause for not good enough service due to under staffing. According to Pini's presentation the complexity is driven by three factors: ... (more)